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Vince Coglianese

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Hayley Caronia

North Carolina Republicans Announce Plan to Redraw Districts

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Republicans are set to redistrict in North Carolina, which gets 14 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives, 10 of which are held by Republicans, and 4 by Democrats. Republicans recently flipped three Democrat seats ahead of the 119th Congress that began this year.   

The state’s Republican-led General Assembly will consider redrawing the state's congressional map next week as President Donald Trump's calls for Republican-controlled state legislatures nationwide to revise maps before the 2026 midterms to bolster GOP advantages by counteracting Democrat gerrymandering.

State House Speaker Destin Hall indicated that Republicans expect to pick up one extra seat as a result of the effort, writing on X “We will stand with the President, defend the GOP majority, and secure an additional Republican congressional seat.”

As reported by The Hill; “According to the Cook Political Report’s 2025 Partisan Voting Index, only the state’s 1st District, currently represented by Rep. Don Davis (D), voted within fewer than 5 percentage points of the national average, making it a possible Republican pickup opportunity.”

As I wrote about previously, redistricting efforts nationwide are set to give the GOP a major advantage in the House following the 2026 midterms, even if California redistricts in retaliation.  All the redistricting scenarios (not including North Carolina), and how much the Democrats will need to win the popular vote by to retake the House, were as follows:

No states redistricted - 0.2
Texas the only state that redistricts - 1.6% 
California and Texas redistrict - 0.3% 
California, Texas, Ohio, Missouri, and Indiana redistrict - 1.6%
California, Texas, Ohio, Missouri, Indiana, and Florida redistrict - 2.3%
Texas, Ohio, Missouri, and Indiana redistrict - 2.8%
Texas, Ohio, Missouri, Indiana, and Florida redistrict - 3.4% 

Furthermore, if the Voting Rights Act is overturned by the SCOTUS, Republicans could be allowed to draw an additional 19 seats. 


 
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Evita Duffy-Alfonso

The Nightly Scroll

Hayley Caronia