U.S. on Track to Have Lowest Murder Rate on Record in 2025 Amid Deportations, Emboldened Police

What a difference a president makes: with police knowing that they have the President on their side, and illegal aliens living under the greatest threat of deportation they ever have, the murder rate is set to collapse to the lowest on record. 

As John Lott Jr., best known for his research on gun control and crime, wrote in The Federalist: 

Murder rates are plummeting. While we still have more than half a year to go, Kash Patel, the FBI’s director, says that the U.S. is on track to have the lowest murder rate ever. The current record low occurred in 2014 when the FBI reported a murder rate of 4.45 per 100,000.

The question is: why? Law enforcement matters, but it is probably also that Trump is deporting criminal illegal aliens.

According to Patel, “Let good cops be cops,” is the answer. “I’m gonna let you, the agents, the police officers, the sheriffs, go out there and do the work you so badly want to do. And I’m gonna give you the resources you need to do it. And I’m gonna take away the politicization and weaponization … and that’s what we’ve done.” The Trump administration has also been ending DEI and other interventions that the Biden administration was pushing on police departments.

The Trump administration is prioritizing deporting violent illegal aliens first, which will have the greatest impact on crime rates. As Lott notes; “If you believe the Biden administration, 9 percent of the so-called “non-detained” illegals who were released into the U.S. had criminal backgrounds (662,566 out of 7.4 million released).”

While all eyes have been focussed on deportation numbers, those voluntarily deporting themselves is likely a figure an order of  magnitude larger. The Center for Immigration Studies’ Andrew Arthur pointed out that self-deportations are showing up in the decline in foreign born employment under Trump. 

One way to track the program is by checking employment numbers. One financial whiz cited by the Wall Street Journal calculated a decline in the immigrant population of 773,000 in the first four months of Trump II. 

The Washington Post claims “a million foreign-born workers have exited the workforce since March.” The Post frames this as “a sign of the weakening labor supply.” Yet the paper also notes, “Average hourly wages accelerated, rising by 0.4 percent over the month, to $36.24 in May, as earnings continue to beat inflation in a boost to workers’ spending power.”

Joe Biden loved to tout the jobs growth under his presidency without mentioning that *all* the net job growth on his watch went to non-citizens. 

Under Trump, the growth is now actually going to U.S. citizens. 

The most recent jobs report showed the economy adding 139,000 jobs, above estimates (125,000). This also came as the federal government shed 22,000 jobs. 

According to White House Director of Policy Communications Jacki Kotkiewicz, based on data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, since Trump has taken office the trend has reversed, with U.S. citizens adding 1.25 million jobs, and the foreign-born losing nearly 200,000. The “non-citizen” losses do not include illegal aliens working under the table who have been deported.